What TRREB’s Chief Analyst Told Me Last Week
Seeing What Others Miss Last week, I sat down with Jason Mercer, TRREB’s Chief Market Analyst. We talked about the thing most people never question: the numbers. Every headline blends houses with condos, 416 with 905, apples with oranges. And when you mix everything together, you get… mush.Not clarity. Not direction. But decisions, big ones, are often made from that mush. Jason and I unpacked what really drives the market, how condos and houses behave like two entirely different species, and why December quietly reshapes buyer psychology every single year. If you’re curious about what’s actually happening (not just what’s printed), you can listen here. Tales from the Trenches The last couple of weeks have been… colourful. On a couple of our listings, we’ve seen extreme lowball offers—the kind that make you wonder if the buyer accidentally dropped a digit. But here’s the interesting part: when we sign the offer back, instead of negotiating, the buyer suddenly backs out. The Dance It’s a strange stance to take when someone is literally inviting you to negotiate. I like to think of an offer as an invitation to dance—you take a few steps forward, a few steps back, until you find a rhythm that works. But sometimes ego gets in the way, and the music stops before it ever starts. It’s a reminder:An offer is not a verdict.It’s not a win.It’s not a loss.It’s an invitation to dance. Some people accept the invitation.Some let ego lead.And the music stops before it begins. Another Moment We also made an offer for a buyer on a condo that had been sitting on the market for 71 days. Naturally, a lower offer seemed reasonable… until a competing offer suddenly appeared. Overnight, the strategy shifted—and the competing buyer was willing to go over asking. Markets shift in a heartbeat.The question is whether you’re ready when they do. Our clients made the smart choice not to overpay, especially in this market, but it was a great reminder that even slow-moving listings can surprise you. December Is a Portal Every year, December opens a small window.Less competition.More motivation.Better conversations. Most people wait for January, because January feels safer.But the opportunity is now, in the quiet month everyone ignores. If you’ve been thinking about buying, this is the moment between the beats. Let’s explore it together. What the Globe Wanted to Know The Globe and Mail interviewed me last week about what I’m seeing on the ground—inventory patterns, buyer behaviour, and the subtle signals that don’t show up in the stats. You can read it here: Toronto housing inventory gets a December refresh For those ready to explore, here are a couple of listings you may want to see before everyone else rediscovers the condo market: Want to Make This Market Work for You? If you’re ready to make a smart move, not just a loud one, let’s talk. The bottom may already be in the rearview mirror. For Sale: Renovated 1-Bedroom Suite in Yorkville, Toronto (40 Scollard Street #1502) Across from the iconic Four Seasons, this fully renovated one-bedroom residence puts you at the centre of it all.Think morning spa treatments, chic brunches, and evenings spent exploring Toronto’s most coveted restaurants—all just steps from your door. 2-Storey Townhouse at King West, Toronto (12 Sudbury Street, #2212) Tucked between West Queen West and King West, and just a jog away from Toronto’s waterfront, this two-storey townhouse delivers the kind of lifestyle the sky-high towers can’t touch.










